31% Pay 'Unaffordable' Rent or Mortgage Costs

This article by Adam Shaw of BBC News UK on November 11th, 2013 reveals how people think property prices are too high in their area.

Thirty one per cent of people paying a mortgage or rent spend more than a third of their disposable income each month doing so, a survey for BBC Panorama suggests.

Housing charity Shelter said that makes mortgage or rent costs "unaffordable".

It said family budgets are being put under "enormous pressure" because of a "shortage of affordable homes".

The survey of 1,003 people also suggests 46% of people think property prices are too high in their area.

According to Shelter and the Joseph Rowntree Foundation, spending more than a third of your disposable income on rent or a mortgage means you may not be able to afford other basic needs.

'Impossible choices'

Shelter chief executive Campbell Robb said: "The widely accepted test of affordability is that housing costs should take up no more than a third of your income."

"But in reality, many families don't have any option but to pay out much more," he said.

"This sees some faced with impossible choices every day - including between putting enough food on the table or paying for the roof over their head."

Among those affected by rising property prices is Abi Reilly, a 33-year-old special needs school teacher.

She lives in a terraced house in Reading with her husband, Chris, and two children, five-year-old Daniel and four-month-old Elsie.

They spend around 40% of their disposable income on rent.

Having rented 13 different properties over the past 10 years, Mrs Reilly said homeownership does not feel realistic.

"It feels too far away," she said. "How can we save for a deposit when our rents are going up, energy's going up, everything's going up, wages stay the same, house prices go up? Mathematically it doesn't work."

The Ipsos MORI survey commissioned by Panorama questioned a total of 1,003 adults - of whom 697 pay a mortgage or renting a property. Mrs Reilly would belong to the 31% of people in this latter group who pay more than a third of their disposable income on their mortgage or rent.

The survey also suggested that 46% of people think property prices are too high in their area and 39% would like to see property prices fall.

In August, the Office for National Statistics said the average price of a property had reached a record high of £247,000.

ONS figures also show that home ownership peaked at 69% of households 12 years ago. Since then it has been falling and is now at 64%.

'Risk of overheating'

Panorama has also looked at the Help to Buy scheme set up by the government in April to assist people who could afford mortgage repayments but were struggling to raise a deposit.

It allows buyers of new-build homes to put down a 5% deposit and take out a government loan for up to 20% of the value of the property. Help to Buy was extended to existing homes in October, under which the government partially guarantees mortgages.

Since it began, there has been a 6% rise in the number of new homes being built.

Merryn Somerset Webb, editor-in-chief of MoneyWeek magazine, said Help to Buy risks inflating prices and overheating the housing market.

"It's like pouring petrol over the car and setting fire to the whole thing," she said.

"You know you might get a little heat in the short-term but the end result is not actually what you wanted."

But the government has dismissed concerns about a property price bubble.

Housing Minister Kris Hopkins said: "In Yorkshire, the North East and Scotland, house prices have moved very little or in some cases have actually gone backwards."

"And that's reflecting where wages are and what money people have actually got to spend. "

He also told Panorama: "We've seen nothing yet to suggest there is anything, going anywhere near a bubble at this moment in time."

Article Source: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-24856594

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UK ‘Pays Highest Property Taxes’

This article by This is Guernsey on November 7th, 2013 tells us that in the developed world, British people are the one who pays the highest level of property taxes.

British people pay the highest levels of property taxes in the developed world, a think-tank says.

 

British people pay the highest levels of property taxes in the developed world and more than twice the average for the 34 rich countries in the Organisation of Economic Co-operation and Development, according to a think-tank report.

The right-of-centre Policy Exchange said politicians should reject new levies on property – such as the “mansion tax” on residences worth over £2 million favoured by Liberal Democrats and Labour – and instead pledge to bring down housing costs by building 1.5 million new homes by the end of the decade.

The report called for at least one new “garden city” and changes to planning rules to deliver 300,000 new houses a year.

Councils that fail to hit their own housing targets should be forced to release land to local people who want to design and build their own homes, said the thinktank.
The report calculated that property taxes including council tax, stamp duty, inheritance tax and capital gains tax amount to 4.1% of GDP in the UK – the highest in the OECD and well above the average 1.8%.

By comparison, Canada levies 3.5% of national income in property taxes, the USA 3%, Japan 2.8% and Germany 0.9%.

Alex Morton, head of housing and planning at Policy Exchange, said: “No other developed country taxes property more heavily than the UK. Yet rising house prices and falling levels of home ownership have led to many calling for an increase to land and property taxes.

“But these issues will only be solved by genuine reform of the outdated planning system, not a tax raid on peoples’ homes. Politicians cannot try to do everything at once and must focus on the most crucial issues.

“The evidence shows where excess credit and under-supply exist, taxation or subsidy can only have a limited impact. That is why policymakers should ignore calls for a new round of property taxes and instead commit to spreading the benefits of homeownership and stabilising the UK economy by building at least 1.5 million new homes over the course of the next Parliament.

“This means serious reform of the planning system and creating new ways to deliver housing.”

A Government spokesman said: “The UK has the fourth lowest transaction costs for moving house with property taxation making up the smallest component of overall costs.

“The Chancellor has been clear there are no plans for a new house price tax on family homes. This Government has frozen Council Tax for hard-working people and cut business rates for small firms, despite the need to pay off the deficit left by the last administration.

“We have delivered a series of reforms to speed up and simplify the planning system, including a comprehensive package to support self-builders. House builders credit Government action for getting the housing market moving again, and schemes like Help to Buy are giving hard-working people a helping hand to increase home-ownership”
Dan Wilson Craw, spokesman for the PricedOut campaign for people who would like to buy a home but cannot afford to, said: “Every month, private tenants are seeing their dream of home-ownership slipping further from their grasp – and all the while they’re paying off the mortgage of their landlord who gets rich from rising house prices.

“This is a symptom of a society that treats houses as an asset to speculate on rather than somewhere for people to live. Tinkering with the tax system could help make the system fairer, but under-supply is the real problem. If political leaders were bold and built 1.5 million more homes over the next Parliament, they could make a real difference to the cost of living.”

Article Source: http://www.thisisguernsey.com/news/uk-news/2013/11/07/uk-pays-highest-property-taxes/

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London House Prices 'Frenzy' Propels UK Property Market Back to Growth

According to Rightmove, a property website, home prices in UK increased by 2.8% in October as revealed on this article by Jerin Mathew of IB Times on October 21st, 2013.

UK home prices up 2.8% in October, according to Rightmove. (Reuters)

UK house prices rebounded from two previous monthly falls in October as they rose by more than £50,000 in the capital city.

According to property website Rightmove, the average asking price for homes increased by 2.8% to £252,418 (€156,274, $252,418) in October, returning to a growth trend that started in January 2013.

London witnessed an "unsustainable" 10.2% rise in asking prices in October, following falls of 2.8% and 1.5% in August and September, respectively.

Many of October's best performers are boroughs in inner London, the website said. Among London boroughs, City of Westminster saw the highest 11.9% increase in house prices, followed by an 11.8% increase each in Kensington and Chelsea and Hammersmith and Fulham.

Home prices are now up 5.6% on July's all-time high of £515,379, pushing the year-on-year increase in London to 13.8%, according to Rightmove.

"Fewer sellers coming to market in the capital during the traditional summer recess resulted in total price falls of 4.3% over August and September. However, this month's rebound in the number of sellers brings the quarterly growth figure back into line with the recent trend at around 2% a month," Rightmove director Mills Shipside said in a statement.

"Although not sustainable in the longer term, some agents currently report there is a buying frenzy in parts of prime inner London, with available stock so low that their shelves are now bare."

Demand-Supply Mismatch in London

Analysts have warned that the continued rise in home prices in the country is primarily due to higher housing demand exceeding supply.

Rightmove noted that "London needs an increase in supply from a combination of more new-build properties and more existing owners coming to market" in order to satisfy at least some of the rising demand.

It added that though the number of sellers in the capital increased 15% on month in October, the recovery is from a low base.

Overseas investors are considering London properties as safe havens for investments. Rising overseas demand is swallowing up much of the new-build supply, adding to shortages and price increase.

"At a time when safe assets are increasingly scarce, and developers are building and marketing a lot of one and two bedroom flats to meet that demand," said Shipside.
"While they can achieve volume sales at premium prices, this eats up a much needed source of fresh supply and drags up existing property prices at an even faster rate".

Income-House Price Mismatch

In addition, taking a mortgage will be a "greater challenge" for many Londoners that are planning to buy a house, says the website.

Rightmove research indicates that 80% of those who intend to buy in the next 12 months will put down a deposit of 10% or more, a substantially high amount given the current prices of houses.

It added that that the current range of 5% deposit Help to Buy products is of no benefit to many Londoners as the income to service a mortgage will be a greater challenge for them.

"In London, the buying power required to get onto or move up the housing ladder means you have to tap into the Bank of Mum and Dad rather than buy courtesy of a helping hand from Uncle George. Indeed, nearly two in five would be first-time buyers in the capital state that they expect to receive parental assistance," said Shipside.

Article Source: http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/articles/515552/20131021/rightmove-house-prices-london-safe-haven-demand.htm

Future of London: The New York Times on the Foreign Rich Buying Up Property

This article by Michael Goldfarb of theguardian on October 20th 2013, tells us that property in the capital has become a global reserve currency for the elite.

Aerial view of Tower Bridge and the River Thames at night. Photograph: Jason Hawkes/theguardian.com

 

Our neighbours Lauren and Matt and their kids moved out of London to Cambridge the other week. Bibi, Andy and their two left for Bristol in June. Another of my eight-year-old's classmates and her family are heading out after Christmas. In my book this is a trend.

The moves are not examples of the lifecycle of the striving middle classes. Nor are they examples of middle-class folks being thrown on hard times by the sluggish British economy.

The families moving out had good incomes. Matt, who had been looking for a house for more than three years, summed up the reason for leaving best: "I don't want to be a slave to a mortgage for the next 25 years." Given the astronomical rise in house prices here, he wasn't speaking metaphorically.

This is what happens when property in your city becomes a global reserve currency. For that is what property in London has become, first and foremost. The property market is no longer about people making a long-term investment in owning their shelter, but a place for the world's richest people to park their money at an annualised rate of return of around 10%. It has made my adopted hometown a no-go area for increasing numbers of the middle class.

According to Britain's Office for National Statistics, London house prices rose by 9.7% between July 2012 and July 2013. In the surrounding suburbs they rose by a mere 2.6%. The farther away from London you go, the lower the numbers get. When you finally cross the border into Scotland, house prices actually decline by 2%.

The gap between London prices and those of the rest of the country is now at a historic high and there is only one way to explain it.

London houses and apartments are a form of money.

The reasons are simple to understand. In 2011, at the height of the eurozone crisis, citizens of the two countries at the epicentre of the cataclysm – Greece and Italy – bought £400m of London bricks and mortar. The Italian and Greek rich, fearing the single currency would collapse, got their money out of euros and parked it some place where government was relatively stable and the tax regime was gentle – very, very gentle. Considering that tax evasion in Italy and Greece was a significant contributory factor to their debt problems, it just seems grotesquely cynical to encourage this kind of behaviour.

But that's what Britain in general, and London in particular, does. The city is essentially a tax haven with great theatre, free museums and formidable dining. If you can demonstrate that you have a residence in another country, you are taxed only on your British earnings.

And the savings on property taxes are phenomenal. The property taxes on New York mayor Michael R. Bloomberg's $20m London home come to £2,143.30 a year. That's $3,430.

Clearly, the mayor bought in at the right time. The Google executive chairman, Eric Schmidt, is reported to be house-hunting here – he's looking in the £30m (about $48m) price range. Yet he will pay a similar amount in property tax as Bloomberg does.

There are other facets of London real estate as a medium of exchange. British gross domestic product has yet to return to pre-crash levels, but the financial services industry has roared back. Banks are paying out big bonuses again, and anyone looking for a safe investment is getting into London property.

From the top of Parliament Hill, on Hampstead Heath, look eastward. Out around the Olympic Park and beyond you see clumps of highrise apartment buildings sprouting like toadstools in a meadow after heavy rain. These aren't being built to meet the calamitous shortage of affordable family housing in the city; they are studio and one- or two-bedroom apartments.

The developments are financed by "off plan" buying. Bonus babies look at the blueprints and put their money down with no intention of living in what they've bought – just collecting decades of rent. And it's not just those who work in London's financial district, the City, who buy in. Hot money from China, Singapore, India and other countries with fast-growing economies and short traditions of good governance is pouring into London.

When I say property is money I mean it. An astonishing £83bn of properties were purchased in 2012 with no financing – all cash purchases. That's around $133bn.

I suppose the development that houses equals medium of exchange isn't all bad. I have friends who were very successful "creatives" (architects, cinematographers, commercial and television directors, etc) in their 30s and 40s. They bought houses when houses were places to live in. Once they turned 50, they passed through a mirror that turned them invisible. Work dried up. They have survived in London via the magic of remortgaging. They accept that their children will never be able to afford to stay on in the city.

The ripple effect of this frankly demented situation is felt all over town. The foreign rich and the City rich (there is some overlap) have made most of the centre of London unaffordable to any but their own kind. Those who were once considered rich – in the top 10% of earners – now can barely afford to move to my neighbourhood, where a typical row (terraced) house, with three bedrooms (the third bedroom wouldn't qualify as a closet in Manhattan) and a total living space of around 950 square feet tops a million dollars, three times what it cost in 2000.

The overall economy of Britain certainly doesn't justify these prices. Bank lending for businesses is flat, but mortgage lending? Hoo-ha, it's soaring up and up and the bulk of it is concentrated in London. It's as if the whole British economy is based on housing speculation in the capital.

David Cameron's government seems to think that is the case. Cameron may be pursuing austerity policies elsewhere in the economy, doing virtually nothing to help subsidise employment or industry, but his government has just started a "help to buy" scheme. The government will guarantee up to 15% of the purchase price of a house up to £600,000 ($960,000), if you have a 5% down payment.

The ordinary uses of the city have been changed beyond recognition. London was never a cheap place to live, but now more expensive property means more expensive everything else: restaurants, cinemas, bars and theatre tickets.As for services, the minimal tax paid by those who have made property into money means that a city whose population has increased by 14% in the last decade can't afford to build new schools. There will be a capacity shortfall of an estimated 90,000 places by 2015. Children won't be turned away from school, but class sizes will grow to untenable proportions.

So younger people, like my former neighbours, feel compelled to leave – even though they were making a very decent living. The delicate social ecology that made London's transformation into a great world city over the last two decades is past the tipping point, I fear.

For the quarter of a century I have lived here, a sense of community has defined my life. A very organic sense of London pride has allowed this city to withstand substantial shocks – some welcome, like its transformation into a true cosmopolis; some unwelcome, like jihadist terrorism.

Now it is beginning to feel that the next phase of London's history will be one of transience, with no allegiance to the city. I wonder whether those just parking their money here by buying real estate will ever be able to provide the communal sensibility to help the city survive the inevitable shocks it will experience in years to come.

How this story will end doesn't bear thinking about. It seems a very reasonable bet, though, that those who use London property as just another form of money aren't thinking about it at all.

Michael Goldfarb is a writer whose most recent book is Emancipation: How Liberating Europe's Jews From the Ghetto Led to Revolution and Renaissance
© 2013 The New York Times Syndicate

WHY MY STORY HAD SUCH AN IMPACT

When I wrote this piece in September, shortly after the ONS published its report showing a 9.7% increase in London house prices, I never thought to send it to a British paper. Everybody here knows the score – no one will publish it, I thought. Wrong. It went viral. Clearly, it spoke to people's fears.

They fear that property prices make no sense. It feels like 2005-07 all over again. People shake their heads and say it can't go on like this. Since nothing has changed in oversight of the City and the rest of the global financial system, people fear what the next property- driven crash will do to their lives.

People fear for their jobs. The time frame of productive economic life for the middle classes is growing shorter. People don't get into good full-time work now until their late 20s. By the time they are 50, they are living on borrowed time (it's more like 40 if they work at Silicon Roundabout). And anyway wages are not rising in line with house prices, so they have to take out massive mortgages.

Finally, they fear what I write about at the end of the essay. The balance in London's complex social ecology has been lost. The balance point in any society should be between stability and stasis. Stability is good; stasis is bad. What's happening in London has shifted the ground so dramatically that stability isn't something most people can contemplate. How do you raise your children knowing that the place they were born and raised is – on current trends – not a place they will be able to afford to live when they grow up?

Article Source: http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2013/oct/20/london-new-york-times-foreign-rich-property

Opportunities as the UK Property Market Comes Back to Life

This article by Richard Watt of Money Observer on October 16th, 2013 reveals that property market in the UK has now regain its life and eager for further developments.

Housing has a unique place in the UK economy. There is a special sense of fulfilment in home-ownership.

‘First-time’ buyers have a priority on the political agenda, while rising home values translate to near-instant voter gratification. A revival in the housing market is front-page news.

This national attitude to our homes creates a number of anomalies. One is the traditional approach to investing in the housing market through direct purchase, buying or upgrading a home or taking on buy-to-let. Home-ownership can be immensely rewarding, but a house is a particularly illiquid investment, while mortgages create a conduit from Bank of England base rates to disposable income that is short, brutal and sometimes nasty.

The flotation of Foxtons, the London-area estate agent, is a sign that the equity market is increasingly providing an alternative route to participation in the property market. A basket of shares might not keep you warm at night, not in a literal sense, but it is a lot more liquid, shouldn’t require a six-figure mortgage and its sensitivity to interest rates is a little less direct.

The Foxtons IPO was heavily over-subscribed, rising 16 per cent on the first day, valuing the business at more than £650 million. Foxtons has some 40 offices, mainly in central London. It is an exceptionally well-run company, with special strength in marketing. The average price of its house sales is £400,000, which puts it in the sweet spot in terms of transaction growth as the recovery develops. It is the right section of the market for the second phase of Help to Buy, which will provide mortgage indemnity for homes worth up to £600,000. In our view, Foxtons is in a position to increase its footprint potentially to 100 offices and possibly more.

Foxtons is not the first estate agent to come to the market. Countrywide floated in March and has outperformed the FTSE All Share (ex investment trusts) by 40 per cent since then (to 24 September). Savills, since its near-term trough in the midst of the eurozone crisis on 4 October 2011, has outperformed the FTSE All Share by 134 per cent.

Estate agents are an interesting and expanding area of the equity market, but the heart of the sector in equity terms is the housebuilders. The sector has seen tremendous outperformance in recent years, with key companies such as Persimmon and Barratt Developments, which over the past three years have outperformed the FTSE All Share by 126 per cent and 156 per cent respectively. In our view, despite inevitable set-backs, the sector should continue to offer robust, market-leading returns.

Current demographics suggest the demand for new housing in the UK should run at around 260,000 units per year, but the market is only supplying half that, around 130,000. It is highly unlikely that supply will reach, let alone overtake demand, on almost any scenario.

The block has been financing, with capital constrained banks requiring significant cash deposits. The government – and everybody who reads a newspaper or watches television or listens to the radio – is aware of this and given the economic benefits of house-building it has taken some bold measures.

The first phase of Help to Buy, under which the government lends new home-buyers 20 per cent of the price towards a 25 per cent deposit, is already having a significant impact, with 30 per cent of new-built homes being reserved through the scheme.

The second phase starts in 2014, providing mortgage guarantees, and should stimulate the market further. The schemes are intended as temporary kick-starts, but the first phase is proving so popular its £3.5 billion funding is likely to expire at some point in 2015 – a date whose proximity to the next election suggests to us it could be replaced, should need arise, by something either as good or better. In the meantime, the banking sector should by then be further on the road to recovery, opening the possibility that affordable commercial mortgages will increasingly become available.

A less publicised but important change is in planning law. Under the new National Planning Policy local authorities are required to maintain a five year plan. In the absence of such a plan, where any planning application is denied, it will be automatically granted on appeal.

This has unleashed fresh tracts of buildable land, a flow unlikely to be completely staunched as plans come to be adopted more widely. So much for the environment – what about the stock specifics? Housebuilders have done well – is there more to come? In my view there is and the numbers tend to support a positive argument. The key decision is whether the UK property market will continue to recover into the medium to longer term.

Let’s take Barratts as an example. We believe it is capable of achieving a return on equity of around 18 per cent on a two to three year view as it builds out land acquired in recent years at attractive profit margins. We expect the industry to be building around 170,000 units a year by the end of this period, significantly higher than current levels but still well below the demographic requirement. From this level, it fair to assume that Barratts’ unit sales can continue to grow at relatively modest minimum of 4-5 per cent a year – given natural demand, government support and ongoing economic recovery – that would leave Barratts with around 75 per cent of its earnings free to distribute as cash to shareholders, which at current share prices implies a dividend yield at around 10 per cent. That is a high yield for a well-run business in a growing market and we would expect most investors to accept something significantly lower, possibly down to around 5 per cent – and that, in turn, implies a much higher share price.

One of the most satisfying aspects of investing in UK mid-cap equities is the dynamism and variety of the opportunities. As the property market comes back to life, it is likely there will be mid-cap companies there to reap the benefits. And as they say in the property business – we are eager for further developments.

Article Source: http://www.moneyobserver.com/news/13-10-16/opportunities-uk-property-market-comes-back-to-life

Bank of England Signals Caution Over Help to Buy

This article by Hilary Osborne of theguardian on October 16th, 2013 reveals BoE's concern on the impact of Help to Buy that cause housing prices to rise.

Concern at the Bank of England about the impact of the government's Help to Buy mortgage scheme came to light on Tuesday as official figures showed the British property market has exceeded its 2008 peak.

Martin Weale, one of nine members of the Bank's rate-setting monetary policy committtee (MPC), warned that the scheme to underwrite home loans could push up prices.

Admitting that house prices were already rising "appreciably more rapidly" than had been expected, Weale said there was a risk that "if the mortgage-guarantee element of Help to Buy is not priced satisfactorily, it will add to demand while supply is weak, leading to increased pressure on prices".

The British property market hit a record high in August, according to the latest figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS), which showed the average cost of a home is now almost £250,000.

The ONS data showed that even before the launch of the second phase of the mortgage-guarantee scheme, house price growth was gathering pace.

Its main index, which measures the price paid in purchases financed with mortgages over the month, surpassed its previous peak by 0.3% to hit 186 in August. That was its highest level since its launch in 1968. It put the average price of a home in Britain at £247,000.

In written evidence to the Treasury select committee, Weale said a booming property market could distort the economy. "Rising house prices may make people feel cheerful and more prosperous, thereby supporting household spending," he warned.

"But rising house prices impose a burden on those who do not yet own houses but aspire to in the future. Like government borrowing, rising house prices can crowd out productive investment."

Weale's submission was published 24 hours after the incoming deputy governor of the Bank, Sir Jon Cunliffe, said Threadneedle Street would keep a "very firm eye" on lenders as Help to Buy was rolled out.

However, Cunliffe said it was "too early to say we are entering into a bubble".

The second part of the Help to Buy scheme, which offers lenders a taxpayer-backed guarantee to encourage them to offer loans to borrowers with small deposits, launched last week and has already prompted a flurry of mortgage applications from homebuyers.

Royal Bank of Scotland, which was the first lender to offer 95% mortgages through the latest phase of the scheme, reported that it had booked 5,000 appointments with prospective borrowers in the first three hours after the launch and taken 10,000 calls in the first four days – double its usual volume. It has extended branch opening hours to cope with demand.

According to the ONS figures, the rate of house price inflation increased through the summer, with the year-on-year increase reaching 3.8% in August, up from 3.3% in July.

However, the growth figures harboured wide regional disparities: the year-on-year increase reflected growth of 4.1% in England, 1.1% in Northern Ireland and 1.0% in Wales, in contrast to a fall of 0.7% in Scotland.

The ONS noted that the capital remains a strong outlier in the property market.
It said that while "house price growth remains stable across most of the UK … prices in London are increasing faster than the UK average".

Its index showed prices in London rose by 8.7% in the 12 months to August and that, when figures for the capital and the rest of the south-east were stripped out, UK house prices were up by 2.1% over the 12 months.

Only in London and the south-east were prices higher than at their previous peak. However, the east of England and the south-west were coming close to that level, the ONS said. The ONS data showed that new entrants to the housing market have seen a steeper rise in prices than homemovers, with prices paid by first-time buyers up 4.9% on August 2012's figure, compared with a 3.3% rise for movers.

In August 2013, the average price paid for a house by a first-time buyer was £185,000, while existing owners paid an average of £283,000.

Despite the headline figures suggesting that prices are running away, economists said activity was still well below the levels recorded before the financial crisis began, and only London was giving real cause for concern.

Howard Archer, chief UK economist at IHS Global Insight, said: "While the strength of house price rises in London is becoming an increasing concern and pushing up the overall national increase in house prices, the ONS data support the view that we are currently a long way off from an overall housing market bubble emerging.

He added: "In fact, in many areas house prices are still well below their 2007 peak levels and rising only modestly at the moment." Housing eceonomists at Capital Economics said the ONS figures were "weighted towards high-value homes and therefore the very strong London market. On most measures, prices are still 10% to 15% below their previous peak."

However, they ackowledged that price rises had outstripped their expectations and that in the short term Help to Buy could give a "significant boost" to the number of buyers.

"While we suspect many will fail the affordability tests, it will put some upward pressure on prices," they said.

"There is a risk that expectations of a new house price boom will become self-fulfilling, even if Help to Buy supports only a few buyers. In that case, the Bank of England is likely to step in to calm the market."

Article Source: http://www.theguardian.com/money/2013/oct/15/house-prices-hit-record-high

Concerns that UK is Fueling Property Market

This interesting article by The Irish Times on October 8th, 2013 reveals how the UK's government help-to-buy scheme allows people to buy a home with a deposit of as little as 5%.

UK Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne began the second phase of his mortgage-boosting plan as concerns persist that it will fuel a property bubble.

Royal Bank of Scotland’s Natwest unit and Lloyds Banking Group ’s Halifax and Bank of Scotland will start offering Help-to-Buy mortgages this week, with Virgin Money Holdings and Aldermore Bank planning to start in 2014, the Treasury in London said in a statement today. 

The program allows people to buy a home costing as much as £600,000 pounds (€709,000) with a deposit of as little as 5 per cent. The first phase came into effect in April, and Prime Minister David Cameron last week brought forward the start of the second from January, dismissing criticism that the plan may help fuel a bubble. 

Halifax said this month that house prices rose for an eighth month in September and lawmaker Andrew Tyrie, who heads the Parliament’s Treasury Committee, said today that intervention in the property market risks causing distortions. 

“The government has yet to allay the committee’s concerns,” Mr Tyrie, a member of Cameron’s Conservative Party, said. “Given the checkered history of interventions in residential property, great care will need to be taken in both the construction and running of this scheme.” 

Under the mortgage plan, the government guarantees as much as 15 per cent of the purchase price in return for a fee from the lender. Fees will be charged as a percentage of the original loan amount and be reset every year. For 2014, they will range from 28 basis points, or 0.28 percentage points, for mortgages between 80 per cent and 85 per cent of the value of the property, to 90 basis points for loans between 90 per cent and 95 per cent, Osborne said in a written statement to lawmakers today. 

Cameron said today the government “had to act” to help prospective homebuyers.

“Too many hardworking people are finding it impossible to buy their own home,” he said. “Buying your first home is about far more than four walls to sleep at night. It’s somewhere to put down roots and raise a family. It’s an investment for the future.” 

Halifax customers will be able to apply for mortgages under the program starting October 11th. The bank is offering a two-year fixed-rate of 5.19 per cent. That’s more than the 1.94 per cent fixed rate it offers first-time buyers who can put down a 40 per cent deposit, according to the bank’s website. Similarly, RBS is offering two- and five-year fixed rates at 4.99 per cent and 5.49 per cent. That compares with a two-year fixed-rate of 1.95 per cent for first-time buyers who are able to put down a 40 per cent deposit, according to its website. HSBC said in an e-mailed statement today that it will also participate in Help to Buy later this year. 

Article Source:  http://www.irishtimes.com/business/sectors/financial-services/concerns-that-uk-is-fueling-property-market-1.1553937

Gazumping Returns to Housing Market in Battle of the Bidders

This article by Lauren Thompson of theguardian on October 6th, 2013 tells us the war in the housing market because of help to buy which demand rises up to 17% and supply down by 14%.

Gazumping and other nasties that flourished in the last property boom are making a return, as competition for homes increases with the bringing forward of the second phase of Help to Buy.

The scheme, which allows buyers to purchase a property under £600,000 with a 5% deposit, was brought forward to last week – three months ahead of schedule. Traffic to Zoopla, the property search website, immediately jumped 17% compared to a week earlier.

Yet supply is not matching this surge in demand, with 14% fewer homes for sale than this time last year, according to the property analysts Home.co.uk, and 19% fewer in London.

There are fears that buyers could be caught in a bidding frenzy fuelled by bullish sellers and eager estate agents keen to talk up the market. Around 10% of the adult population – 5.1 million people – say they are likely to buy in the next 12 months, up from 8% (or 3.7 million) in January 2012, according to Santander Mortgages.

So how can homebuyers navigate the risks of this buoyant market?.

Gone in a flash

Buyers in stronger markets will have to work harder to find the right properties, especially in hotspots such as London. However, Lisa Green, director of the County Homesearch Company in the north-west, emphasises: "Buyers outside the south-east and other hotspots should be wary of estate agents talking up the market." She says the market is still quite weak in many areas, such as Oldham, Huddersfield, Hartlepool, and Powys in Wales.

"Buyers in these markets are still in a strong position to negotiate on the asking price," she says.

First-time buyer Helena Gibbon, 29, is struggling to find a property in London's overheated market. She has been searching for a one-bed flat in Walthamstow, east London, all year, with her sizeable budget of £200,000. Gibbon, who works in advertising, has saved for years for a 10% deposit, and currently lives with her parents while she scours the market.

"It's tough out there for buyers. I have friends who have viewed 30 or 40 properties but they go so quickly," she says.

If you are searching in a popular location, make sure you have all your paperwork ready if you decide to make an offer, says Camilla Dell at Black Brick buying agency.

Most serious buyers will be signed up to Zoopla or Rightmove alerts, but sometimes the best properties do not need to be advertised because they are snapped up so quickly.

Buyers at the top end of the market – with a budget of £500,000 or more – sometimes employ a buying agent with good contacts to search the market. But what about the rest of us? Tracy Kellett, a buying agent at BDI Home Finders, says that buyers should "make friends with estate agents" and emphasise their strong and serious position as a buyer. "Ask for the first heads-up when a property becomes available," she says.

Gazumping

It's every buyer's nightmare – your offer on a property is accepted and you spend hundreds, or even thousands, on a survey, mortgage and legal fees, only to have another buyer make a higher offer and snatch the place from under your nose.

While still relatively rare, agents say gazumping is making an unwelcome return in pockets across the country.Vicki Wusche at The Property Sourcers says: "We recently had an offer accepted for a client on a three-bedroom house in Norwich at the asking price of £122,000.

We immediately sent over our paperwork and instructed a solicitor and went to bed thinking it was a done deal. But in the morning a cash investor had made a higher offer that had been accepted."

Have a mortgage agreement in principle and your surveyor and solicitor ready before you make an offer, and request the estate agent in writing to take the property off the market as soon as your offer is accepted.

Kate Faulkner at advice site Propertychecklists.co.uk says: "Above all, remember that a seller or agent who gazumps you is not worth doing business with anyway. Have faith that a better property will come along soon."

Sealed bids

Bidding wars – where you compete with other buyers for the same property – can be stressful, but it is vital not to get carried away and pay over the odds.

Buyer Georgina Janion recently bought a flat in Putney, south-west London. The ground floor Victorian conversion had 83 viewings and 13 offers in just one week. The sale went to "sealed bids", where Janion and the other potential buyers had to email their final offer before midday on the same day.

She says: "I had been looking for a property for months and viewed about 30 flats, so I knew the local market well. Going to sealed bids is tough and it's impossible to second-guess what other buyers might be willing to pay. I just had to stay calm and offer a fair price that I could afford."

First-time buyers, most of whom will have saved years for a deposit, need to be especially wary of blowing their budget in a bidding war. Check sites such as nethouseprices.com and mouseprice.com for recent sale prices. It's important to retain a pot of savings to buy new furniture or cover unexpected maintenance costs.

Wusche adds: "Also remember interest rates will go up and you should use an online mortgage calculator to see how your monthly payments would be affected. Could you afford to pay 8% on your mortgage? It's vital not to overstretch yourself."

Article Source: http://www.theguardian.com/money/2013/oct/06/gazumping-housing-market-help-to-buy

how to Avoid Property Market Dirty Tricks

This article by The Telegraph on October 3rd, 2013 reveals property expert Sarah Beeny's tips on avoiding being ripped off in a rising market.

The housing market is picking up again, which means the familiar cast of property nasties - greedy vendors, gazumping buyers and the oily agents in between - are rising like ghouls back from the dead. And they are bringing with them the old array of dirty tricks that can turn the homebuying process from being merely difficult into pure hell.

Here, Sarah Beeny gives her top tips for avoiding them.

When a property market is busy, there is a lot of pressure on the buyer to move quickly or commit more money than they initially planned.

In this situation, it is crucial for buyers to do their homework.

“I truly believe that people shouldn’t panic buy. You should buy when the time is right for you, not in reaction to what the market is doing,” said property expert Sarah Beeny. “You are buying for 25 years and in that time the market will go up and down, so don’t rush into it.
“Make a considered decision and don’t stretch beyond your budget.”

Before you start looking for a property, you should have a mortgage agreed in principle, Ms Beeny said. “Find out how much you can borrow based on your income and then look around for the best mortgage available,” she said.

Ms Beeny also recommended lining up a solicitor in advance. “You can establish a good relationship and have everything in place when you want to put in an offer – it means the process is less painful and you lessen the risk of losing the property because of delays.”

When you start looking at properties, the most important thing is to look at prices in the surrounding area. “If a new build flat is being valued at £100,000 more than the surrounding properties, for example, there is something out of place,” said Ms Beeny.

Information on sold prices nearby is available online and you can ask neighbours for further details.

Article Source: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/personalfinance/borrowing/mortgages/10352319/Sarah-Beeny-on-how-to-avoid-property-market-dirty-tricks.html

US Consumer Confidence Drops as House Prices Rise at the Fastest Rate in 7 Years

This article by AFP of The Telegraph on September 24th, 2013 reveals the decrease in consumer confidence as house prices rise and shortage in jobs and earnings resurfaced.

US consumer confidence fell slightly in September as Americans grew more wary about the outlook in coming months, according to a closely watched report. 

The Conference Board said its consumer confidence index fell to 79.7 in September, down from a revised 81.8 in August.

Though a decline was expected for September, the figure was weaker than the 80.0 consensus estimate.

"This is in line... with buyers awaiting a battle among lawmakers over raising the Treasury debt ceiling that could threaten a government shutdown," said Nate Kelley of Moody's Analytics.

The Present Situation Index rose to 73.2 in September from 70.9 in August.

The Expectations Index, indicating consumers' views on the outlook six months into the future, dived to 84.1 from 89.0 last month.

"Consumer confidence decreased in September as concerns about the short-term outlook for both jobs and earnings resurfaced, while expectations for future business conditions were little changed," said Lynn Franco, the Conference Board's director of economic indicators.

"While overall economic conditions appear to have moderately improved, consumers are uncertain that the momentum can be sustained in the months ahead."

Consumers' outlook on jobs and incomes in the coming months darkened.

The number of consumers expecting more jobs fell to 16.9pc from 17.5pc in August, while those anticipating fewer jobs rose to 19.7pc from 17.2pc.

Income expectations were sharply lower. Those expecting their incomes to increase tumbled to 15.4pc from 17.5pc.

The concerns about lower incomes could crimp consumer spending, the engine of US economic growth.

The decline in expectations "also gibes with our call for a relatively weak holiday shopping season this year," said Moody's Kelley.

But while consumer confidence declined, a closely-watched survey of house prices across 20 major US cities showed that property values increased 12.4pc in the year to July. The rise, the highest in seven years, was widely expected by economists, but some foresee a cooling over the rest of the year as mortgage rates climb.

Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the Realtors group, said the surge in sales in August was probably the “last hurrah” for the next year to 18 months as higher prices and the jump in mortgage rates hurts affordability for some buyers.

Article Source: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/10331727/US-consumer-confidence-slips-as-house-prices-rise-at-the-fastest-rate-in-seven-years.html

Buy-to-let Mortgage Market is Prospering

According to a report by Landlord Today a large number of buy-to-let market is booming as shown in this article by propertysecrets on September 16th, 2013.

The latest figures from the Council of Mortgage Lenders show strong growth in the buy-to-let market report Landlord Today.

15,200 BTL loans were advanced in July, an increase of 12% compared to June. This represents a value of £2bn which was 11% higher than in June.

Lending for BTL house purchase was up 7% in July compared to June, a total of 7,600 loans. The value of these loans was £900m, up 13% from June.

There was strong growth in BTL remortgage lending which increased by 24% in July compared to June, a value of £1.1bn. This equated to 7,200 loans in July for BTL remortgage in total, an increase by 13.4% on June 2013.

The figures come just a week after a survey by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) showed that house prices are rising at their fastest pace for almost seven years. Many pundits are predicting that the introduction of Help to Buy could lead to another house price bubble.

Stephen Johnson, managing director of commercial mortgages at Shawbrook Bank, said: "The announcement of the rise in buy-to-let lending is great news for the industry and Shawbrook is keen to support professional investors looking to take advantage of these market conditions.

"However, as an industry we must be careful to not create another bubble. At the moment lending conditions are very good but these are unusual times and the UK needs to create a sustainable market, not one lurching from peak to trough. Those looking to buy property need to ensure they look at the long term - investors need a portfolio that can still work in a more normalised interest rate environment. Sensible gearing will maximize returns, over-gearing now could potentially put at risk investors' hard-earned equity."

Article Source: http://www.propertysecrets.net/article/buytolet_mortgage_market_booming/3115.html

U.K. House Prices Increase to Record on London Property Surge

This article by Fergal O’Brien of BloombergBusinessweek on September 12th, 2013 reveals the increase of house prices in the UK and property market in London continued to soar.

U.K. house prices rose to a record last month as government measures boosted demand and London’s property market continued to surge, Acadametrics said. 

Values increased 0.4 percent from July to an average 233,776 pounds ($370,000), the London-based real-estate researcher and LSL Property Services Plc said in a report today. In London, prices have risen 40 percent from their peak in April 2009, compared with 16 percent nationally.

The Bank of England-run Funding for Lending Scheme has helped to cut mortgage costs, while Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne’s Help to Buy program allows people to purchase a home with a deposit of as little as 5 percent of the value of the property. The BOE has downplayed speculation that a bubble may be brewing, saying activity is still at a low level relative to its pre-crisis peak.

“The property market has turned over a new leaf after years of restrained activity,” said Richard Sexton, director LSL unit e.surv. “The government has been pivotal in providing the aid that the market has been craving for many years.”

Eight of the 10 regions tracked by LSL recorded price gains in the latest three months compared with a year earlier. In the southwest and Wales, where values fell, the declines eased, according to the report.

Acadametrics estimates that completed housing transactions exceeded 70,000 in August for a second month. That would mark the first time that sales over two consecutive months have been above that level since November-December 2007, when transactions were 104,486 and 84,524.

BOE Governor Mark Carney said yesterday that while the market is improving, activity levels, mortgage applications and valuations are still low. He also said prices will continue to increase and the Financial Policy Committee of the central bank will be “vigilant.”

“It is still too early to predict what impact the economy will have on prices, especially as the FPC may apply downward pressure through controls over mortgage supply and pricing,” Sexton said. “Thus nothing can be set in stone yet.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Fergal O’Brien in London at fobrien@bloomberg.net

Article Source: http://www.businessweek.com/news/2013-09-12/u-dot-k-dot-house-prices-increase-to-record-on-london-property-surge

A Quarter of All Homes Sold to First Time Buyers

According to this latest article by Alex Johnson of The Independent on September 10th, 2013 NAEA figures show around 26% home sales were sold to first-time buyers.

Around 26% of home sales in August were by first time buyers, according to figures from the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA), the highest proportion since July 2010 and up from 22% in July.

NAEA members also reported an increase of 29% in the average number of house hunters per branch, up from 250 in July to 322 in August, as well as a slight increase in the average sales agreed per branch in August (nine) compared with July (eight). However, supply levels dropped slightly over the month – the number of available properties per branch decreased from 53 in July to 52 in August.

Around 40% of home buyers last month were aged between 41 and 55 years old, followed by 31 to 40 year olds at 36 per cent. Nearly eight out of ten properties were sold to couples.

Five thousand Lanarkshire homes set to receive green energy

Muirhall Energy has secured a £9million finance package from Santander to expand the Muirhall Windfarm in South Lanarkshire. It is adding two new turbines to the site, the tallest in the UK, to increase production to 60,800 MWh per year, enough to power over 14,300 homes each year. This will prevent 26,144 tonnes of carbon dioxide emissions each year.

Chris Walker, Managing Director of Muirhall Energy, said: “As demand for power increases and fossil fuel reserves deplete it is important we continue make the most of alternative sources of energy and wind power continues to be one of the most cost effective and green solutions.”

Lack of rental homes for families on the market

Figures from Countrywide show that two and three bedroom rental properties saw an increase in average monthly rents in August, up 0.6% and 0.9% respectively. One and four-plus bedroom properties saw a drop of 0.1% and 1.6% respectively. Nick Dunning, Group Commercial Director at Countrywide, said: “August is traditionally a busy period for the rental market with tenants, particularly families, wanting to move into their new rented accommodation before the start of the school term in September. However, demand is not being met by supply and currently there is a particular lack of family-sized properties available to rent, especially in the South of England. Improved conditions in the sales market are attracting reluctant landlords to sell these types of properties specifically in the catchment areas for good schools.”

Property prices in Surrey

According to Zoopla the property prices in Surrey are up 7.35% from five years ago and 4.12% from a year ago. James Wyatt, Partner of Barton Wyatt and Chairman of NAEA Surrey, said: “These figures point to the change in attitude of the money lenders in the last there months. Yet again financial institutions are driving the market and the recent decisions which enables UK buyers to borrow money more easily again has positively turned the market. This has aided sales in the small to medium sized end of the market as most of these properties are purchased with mortgages and in turn we have seen a 33% increase in domestic buyers over the past year in north Surrey.”

Article Source:  http://blogs.independent.co.uk/2013/09/10/a-quarter-of-all-homes-sold-to-first-time-buyers/

Adult Children Live with Their Parents at Home as Rents and House Prices Rise

This alarming article by Tanya Powley of Financial Times on September 6th, 2013 reveals grown-up children are still living at home with their parents because getting on to the property ladder is increasingly difficult as rents and house prices rise.

“Empty nest” syndrome has become a problem of the past for millions of parents who have adult children in their twenties and early thirties still living at home.

The trend of young adults returning to live in the parental home – generation boomerang as they have been called – has grown in recent years, as rents and house prices have risen further out of the reach of would-be homeowners.

Three in ten parents have at least one child aged between 21 and 40 living at home, according to a survey published by the National Housing Federation on Friday. Two-thirds of these parents said their child could not afford to move out.

The poll, which surveyed more than 1,100 parents, highlighted the emotional and financial burden parents face and why the returning offspring have been given another nickname: Kippers – kids in parents’ pockets eroding retirement savings.

One in five said having a grown-up child at home had caused them stress, while a further fifth said it had given rise to family arguments.

“Moving out and setting up a family home of your own is a normal rite of passage,” said David Orr, chief executive at the National Housing Federation. “Yet as rents, mortgages and deposits continue to soar out of reach, it is no longer an option for many.”

Official figures show the number of young adults living at home has jumped by 20 per cent since 1997. According to the Office for National Statistics, almost 3m Britons between the age of 20 and 34 now live at home – of which 1.8m are men.

Amanda Lightstone, a 57-year-old dental nurse, has her youngest son, Andrew, 25, living with her in her three-bedroom house in Edgware, northwest London. She has already lent more than £100,000 to her older sons to help them buy their homes and said she will do the same for her youngest.

“How will he save for a deposit if he starts renting? He will live at home for quite a few years – he’ll be more than 30 when he can afford to buy his own place. I will just have to delay my retirement plans, you can’t have everything!” said Ms Lightstone.

Ann Berrington, professor of demography at the University of Southampton, said the percentage of young adults in their twenties living with their parents has increased since the recession.

Her analysis of the 2008 and 2012 UK Labour Force Surveys found the percentage of women aged between 21 and 22 living at the parental home rose from 46.4 per cent to 55.6 in the four years to 2012.

“The lack of affordable housing is clearly a factor as well as having to raise bigger deposits, but there are other factors at play,” said Professor Berrington.

While research published on Friday showed that in July the number of first-time buyers was at its highest since November 2007, according to LSL Property Services, transaction levels are still significantly lower than at the peak of the housing market.

Local government department figures published on Thursday showed that the government’s housing schemes, which aim to make it easier for people to buy a home with just a 5 per cent deposit, have made little headway.

According to the government, 3,749 people have bought a home through its NewBuy scheme launched in March 2012. This equates to less than 5 per cent of its 100,000 target. The second part of the scheme has had a bigger impact, with 3,000 sales and 10,000 reservations since April 2013.

Paula Higgins, chief executive of the HomeOwners Alliance, said: “We haven’t been building enough houses for 30 years and this is a real embedded crisis that’s not going to go away.”

Article Source:  http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/eb71071c-163e-11e3-a57d-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2e596ach1

Almost 2 Million UK Would Be Homeowners Can’t Get on Property Ladder

New research suggests that almost two million would be homeowners in the UK, mostly families, can't get on the property ladder because they can't afford to save for the deposit needed, according to this September 4th, 2013 recent article by the Property Wire.

According to housing charity Shelter around 1.8 million families face a life time of renting a home with three quarter priced out of the market and even with the government’s flagship Help to Buy scheme some 78% are unable to afford the repayments on a family sized home.

In contrast, the report finds that mortgage repayments on a shared ownership home would be affordable for 95% of families on low or middle incomes.

The charity is calling for a major new house building programme of shared ownership homes to revolutionise ownership for what is describes as ‘forgotten families’. This would allow families to find an affordable home of their own, and provide a real alternative to the confusing postcode lottery of existing small scale schemes, or the overheated private rental market.

The report says that investing £12 billion, less than 1% of GDP, could build 600,000 new shared ownership homes which would be enough to give almost half of England’s private renting families the chance to own their own home. 

‘We need to see a new generation of shared ownership for the ordinary families priced out of home ownership. The reality is that soaring house prices mean that the traditional market is no longer working for ordinary people,’ said Kay Boycott, director of campaigns and policy at Shelter.

‘Building the new shared ownership homes we desperately need is the only way to give thousands of families a stake in the stable home they want at a price they can afford,’ she added.

But the government says it is doing more to help families onto the housing ladder. As well as schemes like Help to Buy and Funding for Lending, both credited with boosting the number of first time buyers, it points to the fact that it has also launched a new scheme to bring back empty homes into the housing stock.

It is working with the public and private sector through the National Empty Homes Loan Fund (NEHLF) to give borrowers access to a secured loan at a fixed 5% interest to renovate some of the 710,000 empty homes in England.

A joint £3 million initiative has been launched with the charity Empty Homes, the Ecology Building Society and 39 participating local authorities to help home owners who cannot afford to bring the property up to a useable standard.

The Ecology Building Society, a specialist mortgage lender that supports sustainable communities, said that it should provide funding for hundreds of properties and is available to individuals aged 18 and over who own a property that has been empty for six months or more. 

‘We know that many homes are empty because it is difficult for owners to raise the money that is required to bring them back up to a habitable standard. This initiative will kick start efforts to tackle this. This scheme is a first in England and is a great example of central government working together with the public and private sector to try and reduce the number of empty homes in the UK,’ said David Ireland, chief executive of Empty Homes.

Paul Ellis, chief executive of the Ecology Building Society, said that at a time when there is increasing demand for homes but an acute lack of supply it makes sense to bring new life to existing but neglected properties.

Article Source:  http://www.propertywire.com/news/europe/uk-property-ladder-families-201309048193.html