Bank of England Signals Caution Over Help to Buy

This article by Hilary Osborne of theguardian on October 16th, 2013 reveals BoE's concern on the impact of Help to Buy that cause housing prices to rise.

Concern at the Bank of England about the impact of the government's Help to Buy mortgage scheme came to light on Tuesday as official figures showed the British property market has exceeded its 2008 peak.

Martin Weale, one of nine members of the Bank's rate-setting monetary policy committtee (MPC), warned that the scheme to underwrite home loans could push up prices.

Admitting that house prices were already rising "appreciably more rapidly" than had been expected, Weale said there was a risk that "if the mortgage-guarantee element of Help to Buy is not priced satisfactorily, it will add to demand while supply is weak, leading to increased pressure on prices".

The British property market hit a record high in August, according to the latest figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS), which showed the average cost of a home is now almost £250,000.

The ONS data showed that even before the launch of the second phase of the mortgage-guarantee scheme, house price growth was gathering pace.

Its main index, which measures the price paid in purchases financed with mortgages over the month, surpassed its previous peak by 0.3% to hit 186 in August. That was its highest level since its launch in 1968. It put the average price of a home in Britain at £247,000.

In written evidence to the Treasury select committee, Weale said a booming property market could distort the economy. "Rising house prices may make people feel cheerful and more prosperous, thereby supporting household spending," he warned.

"But rising house prices impose a burden on those who do not yet own houses but aspire to in the future. Like government borrowing, rising house prices can crowd out productive investment."

Weale's submission was published 24 hours after the incoming deputy governor of the Bank, Sir Jon Cunliffe, said Threadneedle Street would keep a "very firm eye" on lenders as Help to Buy was rolled out.

However, Cunliffe said it was "too early to say we are entering into a bubble".

The second part of the Help to Buy scheme, which offers lenders a taxpayer-backed guarantee to encourage them to offer loans to borrowers with small deposits, launched last week and has already prompted a flurry of mortgage applications from homebuyers.

Royal Bank of Scotland, which was the first lender to offer 95% mortgages through the latest phase of the scheme, reported that it had booked 5,000 appointments with prospective borrowers in the first three hours after the launch and taken 10,000 calls in the first four days – double its usual volume. It has extended branch opening hours to cope with demand.

According to the ONS figures, the rate of house price inflation increased through the summer, with the year-on-year increase reaching 3.8% in August, up from 3.3% in July.

However, the growth figures harboured wide regional disparities: the year-on-year increase reflected growth of 4.1% in England, 1.1% in Northern Ireland and 1.0% in Wales, in contrast to a fall of 0.7% in Scotland.

The ONS noted that the capital remains a strong outlier in the property market.
It said that while "house price growth remains stable across most of the UK … prices in London are increasing faster than the UK average".

Its index showed prices in London rose by 8.7% in the 12 months to August and that, when figures for the capital and the rest of the south-east were stripped out, UK house prices were up by 2.1% over the 12 months.

Only in London and the south-east were prices higher than at their previous peak. However, the east of England and the south-west were coming close to that level, the ONS said. The ONS data showed that new entrants to the housing market have seen a steeper rise in prices than homemovers, with prices paid by first-time buyers up 4.9% on August 2012's figure, compared with a 3.3% rise for movers.

In August 2013, the average price paid for a house by a first-time buyer was £185,000, while existing owners paid an average of £283,000.

Despite the headline figures suggesting that prices are running away, economists said activity was still well below the levels recorded before the financial crisis began, and only London was giving real cause for concern.

Howard Archer, chief UK economist at IHS Global Insight, said: "While the strength of house price rises in London is becoming an increasing concern and pushing up the overall national increase in house prices, the ONS data support the view that we are currently a long way off from an overall housing market bubble emerging.

He added: "In fact, in many areas house prices are still well below their 2007 peak levels and rising only modestly at the moment." Housing eceonomists at Capital Economics said the ONS figures were "weighted towards high-value homes and therefore the very strong London market. On most measures, prices are still 10% to 15% below their previous peak."

However, they ackowledged that price rises had outstripped their expectations and that in the short term Help to Buy could give a "significant boost" to the number of buyers.

"While we suspect many will fail the affordability tests, it will put some upward pressure on prices," they said.

"There is a risk that expectations of a new house price boom will become self-fulfilling, even if Help to Buy supports only a few buyers. In that case, the Bank of England is likely to step in to calm the market."

Article Source: http://www.theguardian.com/money/2013/oct/15/house-prices-hit-record-high

Almost 2 Million UK Would Be Homeowners Can’t Get on Property Ladder

New research suggests that almost two million would be homeowners in the UK, mostly families, can't get on the property ladder because they can't afford to save for the deposit needed, according to this September 4th, 2013 recent article by the Property Wire.

According to housing charity Shelter around 1.8 million families face a life time of renting a home with three quarter priced out of the market and even with the government’s flagship Help to Buy scheme some 78% are unable to afford the repayments on a family sized home.

In contrast, the report finds that mortgage repayments on a shared ownership home would be affordable for 95% of families on low or middle incomes.

The charity is calling for a major new house building programme of shared ownership homes to revolutionise ownership for what is describes as ‘forgotten families’. This would allow families to find an affordable home of their own, and provide a real alternative to the confusing postcode lottery of existing small scale schemes, or the overheated private rental market.

The report says that investing £12 billion, less than 1% of GDP, could build 600,000 new shared ownership homes which would be enough to give almost half of England’s private renting families the chance to own their own home. 

‘We need to see a new generation of shared ownership for the ordinary families priced out of home ownership. The reality is that soaring house prices mean that the traditional market is no longer working for ordinary people,’ said Kay Boycott, director of campaigns and policy at Shelter.

‘Building the new shared ownership homes we desperately need is the only way to give thousands of families a stake in the stable home they want at a price they can afford,’ she added.

But the government says it is doing more to help families onto the housing ladder. As well as schemes like Help to Buy and Funding for Lending, both credited with boosting the number of first time buyers, it points to the fact that it has also launched a new scheme to bring back empty homes into the housing stock.

It is working with the public and private sector through the National Empty Homes Loan Fund (NEHLF) to give borrowers access to a secured loan at a fixed 5% interest to renovate some of the 710,000 empty homes in England.

A joint £3 million initiative has been launched with the charity Empty Homes, the Ecology Building Society and 39 participating local authorities to help home owners who cannot afford to bring the property up to a useable standard.

The Ecology Building Society, a specialist mortgage lender that supports sustainable communities, said that it should provide funding for hundreds of properties and is available to individuals aged 18 and over who own a property that has been empty for six months or more. 

‘We know that many homes are empty because it is difficult for owners to raise the money that is required to bring them back up to a habitable standard. This initiative will kick start efforts to tackle this. This scheme is a first in England and is a great example of central government working together with the public and private sector to try and reduce the number of empty homes in the UK,’ said David Ireland, chief executive of Empty Homes.

Paul Ellis, chief executive of the Ecology Building Society, said that at a time when there is increasing demand for homes but an acute lack of supply it makes sense to bring new life to existing but neglected properties.

Article Source:  http://www.propertywire.com/news/europe/uk-property-ladder-families-201309048193.html

Warning of London Housing Bubble as Mortages Soar by 29%

This article was published on London Evening Standard on August 20, 2013, written by Jonathan Prynn stating the increased in mortgage may result in dangerous housing price bubble in London.

A dramatic surge in mortgage lending today sparked fresh fears about a dangerous house price bubble in London.

Banks and building societies advanced home loans worth £16.6 billion last month, up 29 per cent on last year and the biggest rise for seven years.

Property experts said low mortgage rates, the Government’s Help to Buy scheme and growing confidence about the economy contributed to the increase in lending.

But MPs warned that the lending boom could simply “pour petrol” on a market already showing signs of overheating and price more Londoners out of home ownership.

Mark Field, Conservative MP for the Cities of London and Westminster, said: “The London market has never really been in the doldrums. The danger here is that affordability of property prices becomes ever more a fantasy for more and more people.”

Government figures last week showed prices rising at eight per cent to a record average £425,000 in June compared with one per cent outside London and the South-East.

The Council of Mortgage Lenders figures today reveal lending is bouncing rapidly from the depressed levels of around £10 billion to £13 billion a month seen since the  banking crisis five years ago, Last month’s total was the highest since October 2008.

The Treasury’s Funding for Lending scheme, aimed at encouraging bank funding for home buyers and small businesses, and the Help to Buy programme, which has already been taken up by 10,000 new home owners, have contributed to the return of confidence.

Borrowers were further encouraged by Bank of England Governor Mark Carney suggesting that its 0.5 per cent lending rate is unlikely to be increased before 2016.

Fixed-rate mortgage deals are at historic lows, with some lenders offering fixed-rate deals below two per cent, levels described as “quite staggering” by Ed Mead of London estate agents Douglas & Gordon.

There have even been the first signs of the return of interest-only mortgages with lenders such as Clydesdale and Yorskshire offering nought per cent for the first three years on some deals.

But leading property experts called on George Osborne to scrap the second phase of its Help to Buy mortgage scheme in London, due to come into force in January.

Doug Shephard, director at property search website Home.co.uk, warned: “The London property market clearly needs no further stimulus; it’s running too hot already.” Stuart Law of buy-to-let investment firm Assetz said lending conditions are so favourable that he expected “double digit” rises in property prices next year.

Shadow housing minister Jack Dromey warned: “Unless the Government invests in building the homes our capital city badly needs, rapidly rising property prices will put the dream of home ownership beyond the grasp of millions of Londoners.”

The Council of Mortgage Lenders’s market and data analyst Caroline Purdey said: “An improvement in sentiment and activity continues to show in the UK housing and mortgage markets, with a more positive picture also starting to emerge in the economy.

“Our forward estimate of gross mortgage lending in July reinforces a growing evidence base of a strengthening in the housing and mortgage markets.” The CML’s members account for 95 per cent of residential home loans in the UK. There are 11.3 million mortgages in the UK, with loans outstanding worth more than £1.2 trillion. However, with many borrowers still effectively locked out of the market — such as those with impaired credit ratings or negative equity — there is still a long was to go until  lending recovers to the peaks of £30 billion in 2006 and 2007.

Nevertheless leading property figures welcomed the return to more “normal” conditions after so many barren years. Richard Sexton, director of chartered surveyors e.surv, said: “The mortgage market has been the pillar of the economic recovery. The freeze on high loan to value mortgages has thawed, and first-time buyer lending is at its highest since the banking crisis.”

Housing minister Mark Prisk said: “Today’s figures show our Funding for Lending Scheme, and record low interest rates, have led to the highest level of mortgage lending since 2008. But alongside this, we’re also pulling out all the stops to get Britain building, and the increased availability of mortgage finance is boosting confidence in the housing market, and encouraging house builders.

“We’ve also been working with the Mayor to invest billions of pounds to deliver the fastest rate of affordable housebuilding for two decades.”

‘High prices have forced us to look outside capital’

MEG Jorsh and boyfriend Jason Rowbottom have become so demoralised by London prices they have taken their property search away from the capital.

The couple bring home a combined income of about £65,000 and are saving £500 each a month for a deposit — despite the £900 monthly rent for their two-bed flat in Beckenham.
They would like to stay in London but have decided to buy in Manchester.

Journalist Ms Jorsh, 29, whose 30-year-old boyfriend is a manager at the Health and Care Professions Council, said London’s property prices were so high that the help-to-buy schemes would have no impact. “We would love to get on the ladder for the security that it gives you, but we know we are in for a long slog,” said Ms Jorsh.

“We are planning to move to the North so what we can buy will actually be decent.
“Even with a £25,000 deposit here, which seems like so much money, we’d probably only end up with a one-bed flat. It would be wonderful to be able to stay in London, but we just can’t have the kind of lifestyle that we would like.

“The whole thing is really depressing and deeply demoralising.”
The couple expect it will take two to three years to raise a deposit.

Article Source: http://www.standard.co.uk/news/london/warning-of-london-housing-bubble-as-mortages-soar-by-29-8776256.html